Mr. McDaniel currently is a director of John Wiley & Sons, Inc. (2005-present) and a member of the Board of Trustees of Muhlenberg College (2015-present).Mr. He is also a member of the Bretton Woods Committee (2022-present). Study shows repeated company defaults usually reflect prolonged industry stress. (1), Missouri Moody's anticipates revenue growth in the low single-digits in 2021 and 2022, supported by increasing spending by consumers, a pickup in demand for travel and other products that were. She held various executive roles at JPMorgan Chase & Co. (JPMorgan) from 1997 through 2015, including Global Chairman of Financial Institutions Group, Co-Head of Banking, Asia Pacific, and Head of Global Debt Capital Markets. (2), Malta (2), Guinea-Bissau IF IN DOUBT YOU SHOULD CONTACT YOUR FINANCIAL OR OTHER PROFESSIONAL ADVISER.ALL INFORMATION CONTAINED HEREIN IS PROTECTED BY LAW, INCLUDING BUT NOT LIMITED TO, COPYRIGHT LAW, AND NONE OF SUCH INFORMATION MAY BE COPIED OR OTHERWISE REPRODUCED, REPACKAGED, FURTHER TRANSMITTED, TRANSFERRED, DISSEMINATED, REDISTRIBUTED OR RESOLD, OR STORED FOR SUBSEQUENT USE FOR ANY SUCH PURPOSE, IN WHOLE OR IN PART, IN ANY FORM OR MANNER OR BY ANY MEANS WHATSOEVER, BY ANY PERSON WITHOUT MOODYS PRIOR WRITTEN CONSENT.MOODYS CREDIT RATINGS, ASSESSMENTS, OTHER OPINIONS AND PUBLICATIONS ARE NOT INTENDED FOR USE BY ANY PERSON AS A BENCHMARK AS THAT TERM IS DEFINED FOR REGULATORY PURPOSES AND MUST NOT BE USED IN ANY WAY THAT COULD RESULT IN THEM BEING CONSIDERED A BENCHMARK.All information contained herein is obtained by MOODYS from sources believed by it to be accurate and reliable. (1), New York (6), Oman (2), Bangladesh (6), British Virgin Islands (1), B3 Negative and Lower MSFJ is not a Nationally Recognized Statistical Rating Organization (NRSRO). (6), Djibouti 19 Dec 2022. (100), Other Studies (53), Jersey (9), High Yield Interest moody's probability of default table 2020casting fille 12 ans pour srie netflix 2021. Credit Solution Experts Incorporated offers quality business credit building services, which includes an easy step-by-step system designed for helping clients build their business credit effortlessly. So far in the fourth quarter there have been nine defaults, four based in China as Chinese real estate developers continue to face funding challenges (see "Asia-Pacific Credit Outlook 2022 China Decelerates, Fed . He additionally brings experience in areas such as strategic planning, business development and new product development. Please reduce your list by using the filtering tool to the left. Ms. Alsop holds a B.A. in Statistics and Actuarial Science, both from the Wharton School at the University of Pennsylvania, and is a Fellow of the Society of Actuaries. Providing trusted insights and standards that help decision makers act with confidence. This page provides a central resource for Moodys research on default risks, impairment and loss rates, ratingtransitions and performance, and liquidity studies. (1), District of Columbia Chief Financial OfficerMark Kaye is the Chief Financial Officer of Moodys Corporation with responsibility and oversight for all global financial activities. NOTE TO JOURNALISTS ONLY: For more information, please call one of 2023 Moody's Investors Service, Inc., Moodys Analytics, Inc. and/or their affiliates and licensors. Head of Investor RelationsShivani Kak heads the Investor Relations Team and is responsible for managing effective communications with the analytical community, as well as existing and potential shareholders. (2), Israel In this spirit, Moodys accelerated its own net-zero commitments to 2040, advanced its science-based targets, and published its inaugural Stakeholder Sustainability Report.Moodys has continued to strengthen the firms culture of inclusion, built on respect, diversity and openness. 2023 Moody's Investors Service, Inc., Moodys Analytics, Inc. and/or their affiliates and licensors. There were differences in default rates across sectors. The maximum number of items you can export is 3,000. (1), Michigan Prior to his work at MassMutual, Mark held a range of senior finance leadership roles at Voya Financial (formerly ING U.S.). (2), Nepal From 2019 to 2021, Ms. Kazanjian held various people leadership roles at WeWork, leading into her role as Chief People Officer. The 2.1% fallen angel rate in 2020, although noticeably higher than the 1.1% rate in 2019, matched the long-term average since 1983. Mr. Serafin joined Qualtrics in October 2016 as Chief Operating Officer. This severity level is estimated to increase short term, average state-level default rates from 0.07% to between 11.6% and 18.4%, with a conservative estimate of 13.8%. Passed Level II of the CFA Program (Feb 2022). CONTACT OUR EXPERTS solutions covering Global Economy, Sovereigns & Sub-Sovereigns Sectors & Portfolios Companies Macroeconomic scenarios Moody's Analytics However, MOODYS is not an auditor and cannot in every instance independently verify or validate information received in the rating process or in preparing its Publications. (2), Estonia 12/31/2021: 31.57: 32.25: 11/30/2022: 5.44: 5.53: 12/31/2022: 0.67: 2.31: For illustrative . MCO and Moodys Investors Service also maintain policies and procedures to address the independence of Moodys Investors Service credit ratings and credit rating processes. Mr. Fauber earned his B.A. Previously, he was a Managing Director in the M&A groups at Deutsche Bank and Bank of America and held similar roles in the M&A groups at Citigroup and Donaldson, Lufkin & Jenrette. Sector in-depth Refinancing risk rises for US companies as maturities peak, interest rates increase, economy weakens We are proud that Moodys continues to be recognized for our leadership in this area, including a perfect score on the Human Rights Campaign Foundations Corporate Equality Index for the eleventh year in a row, our third consecutive year in the Bloomberg Gender-Equality Index, inclusion in the prestigious Civic 50 honor roll, and being named one of Americas Most Loved Workplaces by Newsweek.We see our role as a corporate citizen to help build a world where more people have access to opportunity and where everyone has the resources to grow and thrive. (6), Russia (2), Fiji 2023 Moody's Investors Service, Inc., Moodys Analytics, Inc. and/or their affiliates and licensors. The speculative-grade corporate default rate will climb to 4.3% next year under our baseline forecast, up from 2.3% in September. He began his career in the investment banking division of Credit Suisse First Boston. He is a current member of The Clearing House supervisory board and also serves on the board of the Federal Reserve Bank of Boston. Chief of StaffTameka Alsop is Managing Director, Chief of Staff to the CEO at Moodys Corporation and a member of the Executive Leadership Team. Despite the severity of the 2020 recession, the current default cycle will peak at a lower rate than those associated with the last three recessions. (2), Dominican Republic I am excited about our future and the many ways we will meet our customers evolving needs as we help them to decode risk and unlock opportunity.By investing in our business and acquiring new capabilities, we are enhancing the ways we serve our customers and our ability to reach new markets. Mr. Kenney also oversees risk assurance for the Corporation. (2021) note that one third of all U.S. corporate bonds have a fixed call feature, . 2021 Moodys Corporation, Moodys Investors Service, Inc., Moodys Analytics, Inc. and/or their licensors and affiliates (collectively, MOODYS). (2), Kenya Previously, Mr. Hogan held the role of EMEA Regional Controller from June 2013 to September 2016; and from July 2010 to June 2013, he held various senior roles within the Finance organization. METRICS AND TARGETS 10 SCOPE 2 GHG EMISSION REDUCTION 10. (1361), Asia Pacific And, as our customers increasingly seek to understand and quantify the risk of a cyber attack in their organizations and across their supply chains, we made a $250 million investment in BitSight, a leading provider of cyber security risk ratings.All of these initiatives translated into impressive financial performance and continued strong returns for our stockholders. 1 (9), Tajikistan Ms. Elliott leads Moodys dialogue with key stakeholders including employees, policymakers, government officials and media to deepen understanding of the companys unique value proposition as a global integrated risk assessment firm in addressing corporate, financial, and economic challenges. He served as Chief Risk Officer of Citigroup, Inc., a global financial services company, from November 2007 to March 2008. (82), Cape Verde (167), Structured Finance Moody's Investors Service's 34th annual default study provides statistics on defaults, losses and rating transitions for corporate bond, loan and deposit issuers over the past year. For example, the weight on financial information relative to behavioral information will be lower for a small private business than for a medium-sized enterprise. Mr. Goggins was an Associate with Cadwalader, Wickersham & Taft from 1985 to 1995 where he worked on mergers and acquisitions. Prior to Cisco, Ms Hill had a number of engineering roles at various technology companies. Allows users to calculate the probability that any specific credit will cross a predefined threshold by a particular date. (1), Coronavirus Effects (2), Ireland He is also a member of the Washington Economics Club.Mr. Breed is responsible for all global enterprise technology programs and activities. (649), Infrastructure & Project Finance (1), Ohio Mr. Forlenza has also served since August 2021 as a director of MARABio Systems Inc., a startup company developing a diagnostic test for autism. (1938), German (7), Vietnam Prior to joining Moodys, David spent ten years in Deloittes Assurance practice, with a focus on clients within the Telecom, Media and Technology sector. visit our web site at www.moodys.com. Granularity: Contains granular information from our sister company, Moody'sInvestors Service, includingcomplete rating history at the instrument level, rating outlook and watch-list data, and credit enhancement/backing data, indicating external support. Governments and others are increasingly using climate analytics to better inform climate mitigation and adaptation measures, and stakeholders are seeking ways to better understand the progress and impact of corporate de-carbonization commitments. Previously, Mr. West served as Managing DirectorHead of Global Structured Finance from February 2014 to May 2016 and Managing DirectorHead of Global Corporate Finance from January 2010 to January 2014. From April 2009 through April 2014, he served as Senior Vice PresidentCorporate Development of Moodys Corporation. The markets looked to Moodys for our expertise and insights in navigating evolving credit conditions, and many organizations sought our help in making better, more informed decisions in financing, screening, lending, insuring and investing. (2), Mexico Mr. Fauber joined the Board of Directors in October 2020 and he currently serves on the Executive Committee of the Board of Directors. (8), Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) Mr. Forlenza previously served on the board of the Advanced Medical Technology Association (AdvaMed), an international medical technology trade organization.Mr. Clients frequently use this data to conduct credit research as well as build and update credit risk models, particularly those focused on probability of default and loss given default. MOODYS ISSUES ITS CREDIT RATINGS, ASSESSMENTS AND OTHER OPINIONS AND PUBLISHES ITS PUBLICATIONS WITH THE EXPECTATION AND UNDERSTANDING THAT EACH INVESTOR WILL, WITH DUE CARE, MAKE ITS OWN STUDY AND EVALUATION OF EACH SECURITY THAT IS UNDER CONSIDERATION FOR PURCHASE, HOLDING, OR SALE. If these default rate forecasts crystalize, the pandemic induced default cycle will be relatively mild comparing with prior recessionary default cycles whose peaks ranged from 9.7% to 13.3%. (10), Gulf Cooperation Council If this isn't what you are looking for, you can, Moody's Default and Ratings Analytics team publishes Moodys default studies, ratings transitions and ratings performance studies for corporates, financial institutions, sovereign and sub-sovereign, public finance and infrastructure sectors. (2), Cuba Hogan has served as the companys Treasurer since September 2019. We invested approximately $150 million organically in technology, data, and product development in addition to pursuing acquisitions that enhance our capabilities and will accelerate our speed to market in areas ranging from environmental, social and governance (ESG) and climate risk to financial crime, commercial real estate (CRE) and supply chain risk.In 2021, we rated over $6 trillion of issuance and served more than 1,100 issuers who accessed the markets for the first time. (2), Monaco (Hons) in Russian and European Studies from the University of Surrey and speaks fluent Russian. He is admitted to the New York State bar. (2), Laos In addition, his service since 2005 as a director of John Wiley & Sons, Inc., which develops, publishes and sells products in print and electronic media for the educational, professional, scientific, technical, medical and consumer markets worldwide, has provided him with perspective on public company governance issues. Expansive Dataset: Includes more than 800,000 individual debt securities, both corporate and sovereign entities, and default history starting from 1920. He currently serves as a member of Qualtrics board of directors.Having served as a senior executive of major technology and software companies, Mr. Serafin brings extensive digital and technology expertise as well as executive management experience. Ms Seidman has over 30 years of experience in the accounting profession, serving as a member of the Financial Accounting Standards Board (FASB) from 2003-2013, and as Chairman for approximately the last three years of her term. US Credit Compass indicates further deterioration as lending standards tighten and sentiment worsens, The performance of Moody's corporate debt ratings Q2 2022, This publication provides updated measures of the, Corporate defaults more than double in August from the prior month. We achieved revenue growth of 16% and adjusted diluted EPS growth of 21%, our second consecutive year of over 20% growth amidst the pandemic.Moodys Investors Service (MIS) revenue grew 16% on the strength of buoyant issuance markets and our comprehensive coverage of global debt markets.Moodys Analytics (MA) revenue grew 16%, supported by 9% organic revenue growth, as well as several acquisitions. (9), Iran For example, an A- rated bond has a probability of default over five years of 0.57%. Use semicolon to separate each address, limit to 20 addresses. A probability of default (PD) is already assigned to a specific risk measure, per guidance, and represents the percentage expectation to default, measured most frequently by assessing past dues. Moodys seeks to be a compass for our customers by leveraging our rich history and diverse expertise to provide a holistic view of risk and opportunity. He also is a member of the advisory committees for Finance and Audit at OnePulse Foundation. These capabilities are already helping customers better identify, measure and manage a wider range of risks leading to better outcomes.As the pace of digitization and automation continues, so has the prevalence of cyber risk. 15 Dec 2022. The maximum number of items you can export is 3,000. He has served as the Executive Vice President, Chief Financial Officer and Treasurer of Booz Allen Hamilton Holding Corporation (BAH), a business management consulting company, since 2016. (6), Lebanon This publication does not announce a credit rating action. The Moody's Analytics PD is an aggregation of all the sources of credit risk assessable for a given borrower. Mr. Fauber served as Vice PresidentCorporate Development from September 2005 to April 2009. (1), Oregon From 1987 to 1996, Ms Seidman served as Vice President, Accounting Policy and in other roles at J.P. Morgan & Company, Inc. (now JPMorgan Chase) and from 1984 to 1987, Ms Seidman served as an auditor for Arthur Young & Co. (now EY). (2), Taiwan, China He joined Citizens from The Royal Bank of Scotland Group plc (RBS), a global banking and financial services group. Dial the AT&T Direct Dial Access code for, We brought you to this page based on your search query. (6), Isle of Man +852-3758-1350, Sydney +61-2-9270-8141, Mexico City (2), Eritrea (2), Kyrgyzstan (2), Brunei Darussalam Moody's Investors Service provides investors with a comprehensive view of global debt markets through credit ratings and research. Please complete your profile before submitting your comments. Moody's municipal ratings are opinions of the investment quality of the issues and issues in the US municipal and tax-exempt markets. (2), Suriname (9), Indonesia (1), Iowa As I observed last year, our customers seek solutions to help them identify, measure and manage a wider range of interconnected risks. (2), Cook Islands In this new report, Moody's forecasts that the rate will peak at 7.3% in March 2021, and then decline to 4.7% by December. As the pandemic has highlighted the demand for understanding of the complex and interconnected risks facing markets, businesses and economies, Moodys has stepped up to the challenge through its strategy of offering an integrated and holistic perspective on risk for customers. (6), Iceland (2), Brazil By telephone from outside the United States: Modern Slavery and Human Trafficking Statement. Mr. Tulenko joined Moodys in 1990. (364), Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) MANAGEMENT'S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS Key underlying assumptions subscription streaming services and other over-the-top providers Our 2022 guidance ranges presented in "2022 Full-Year continue to grow in popularity; Consolidated Guidance" are based on many assumptions in Media, continued growth in sports and relative stability in . CREDIT RATINGS, NON-CREDIT ASSESSMENTS (ASSESSMENTS), AND OTHER OPINIONS INCLUDED IN MOODYS PUBLICATIONS ARE NOT STATEMENTS OF CURRENT OR HISTORICAL FACT. If this isn't what you are looking for, you can. (1584), Default Studies Information regarding certain affiliations that may exist between directors of MCO and rated entities, and between entities who hold credit ratings from Moodys Investors Service and have also publicly reported to the SEC an ownership interest in MCO of more than 5%, is posted annually at www.moodys.com under the heading Investor Relations Corporate Governance Director and Shareholder Affiliation Policy. Additional terms for Australia only: Any publication into Australia of this document is pursuant to the Australian Financial Services License of MOODYS affiliate, Moodys Investors Service Pty Limited ABN 61 003 399 657AFSL 336969 and/or Moodys Analytics Australia Pty Ltd ABN 94 105 136 972 AFSL 383569 (as applicable). While 2021 was a year of challenges, it was also full of opportunities to invest and deliver for our customers. (2), Albania (2), Saint Lucia (10), Hungary In addition to an increase in defaults, there was also a larger number of negative rating actions in 2020, as business disruptions caused a deterioration in credit metrics in many sectors and regions. Van Saun currently serves as the chief executive officer and chairman of a U.S. bank. (2), Italy Senior Vice President,Risk Management & Chief Audit ExecutiveScott Kenney is Senior Vice President Risk Management and Chief Audit Executive of Moodys Corporation. (1), Delaware Breed was a finalist for the New York CIO of the Year ORBIE Award in the Global category. (2), Kuwait Chairman & Chief Executive OfficerCitizens Financial Group, Inc.Director since March 2016 Bruce Van Saun, age 64, is a member of the Audit, Governance & Nominating and Compensation & Human Resources Committees of the Board of Directors. (6), Solomon Islands She also serves as the Senior Independent Director at National Grid plc (March 2014-present).Ms Esperdys extensive experience in global investment banking and financial markets provides her with strategic and financial expertise that is critical to overseeing the Companys strategies. Moody's Investors Service provides investors with a comprehensive view of global debt markets through credit ratings and research. Her experiences and expertise enhance the Boards ability to oversee the Companys global operations and effectively manage risk. (2), Mongolia (1), Massachusetts (91), Nicaragua (2), San Marino There are three major credit rating agencies (Standard & Poor's, Moody's, and Fitch) that provide ratings on bond. A firm is defined to default if there is a record of nominal default and one or more post-default prices are observed. (2), Bhutan The Companys common stock trades on the New York Stock Exchange under the symbol MCO. The markets looked to Moodys for our expertise and insights in navigating evolving credit conditions, and many organizations sought our help in making better, more informed decisions in financing, screening, lending, insuring and investing. Ms. (2), Kazakhstan June 2021 . Moody's proposes updates to its methodology for assigning instrument ratings for insurers 25 October 2021 New York, October 25, 2021 - Moody's Investors Service is seeking feedback from market participants on proposed changes to its cross-sector methodology for assigning instrument ratings for insurers. He and his wife have two children. To help address the emerging cyber risk segment, in 2021 Moodys invested and partnered with BitSight, a pioneer in cybersecurity ratings and analytics. (2), Eswatini (1), Mississippi Following a year marked by one of the deepest recessions in the past 100 years, 2021 proved to be a year of better-than-expected economic recovery, despite the lingering COVID-19 pandemic. Environmental, social and governance (ESG), cybersecurity and other emerging risks have become more relevant to our core business of credit and risk management, evidenced by increasingly and at times stark event-driven impacts on businesses and the communities they support.. We assigned nearly 1,800 ESG Credit Impact Scores to help investors understand the impact of ESG factors on credit risk, as well as new Carbon Transition Assessments for nearly 400 issuers across the most exposed sectors.We launched Moodys ESG Score Predictor, which provides ESG estimates, carbon emissions footprint, and transition and physical risk factors for over 140 million companies, supporting customers needs around sustainable sourcing and supply chains.Ahead of COP26, we launched the Moodys on Climate Campaign which generated close to 10 million content impressions, illustrating the markets strong interest in Moodys ESG insights.In September, we closed on our acquisition of RMS, a leading risk analytics business serving the global insurance industry.This enables us both to provide a more comprehensive suite of offerings to our life, property and casualty (P&C) and reinsurance customers and to leverage RMS world-class models and expertise in weather, climate and disaster risk in providing risk solutions beyond insurance.We advanced our screening and onboarding offerings, aided by several key acquisitions.We are helping our customers digitize and automate the Know Your Customer (KYC) process, providing a streamlined workflow with proprietary company, ownership, and people data. 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